China’s semiconductor output jumps 40% in first quarter amid growing dominance in legacy chips

By Coco Fengin Beijing

China’s total integrated circuit (IC) output surged 40 per cent to 98.1 billion units in the first quarter, a sign that the country is expanding its production of older-generation chips while being constrained by US trade restrictions on advanced chip-making equipment.

National IC output jumped 28.4 per cent to 36.2 billion units in March alone, reaching an all-time high, according to the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Tuesday.

The government agency said China’s “hi-tech manufacturing has grown faster”. The country’s IC production is set to rebound strongly this year as “the semiconductor industry overall is becoming more localized”, Haitong Securities said in a report last week.

China’s IC output has risen sharply thanks partly to strong demand from downstream sectors, such as new energy vehicles. Government data showed that the country’s new-energy-vehicle output in the first quarter rose 29.2 per cent to 2.08 million vehicles. Smartphone output expanded 16.7 per cent during the same period.

China has expanded its IC production capacity in recent years, with output in the first three months of this year almost tripling from the same quarter in 2019, as semiconductor manufacturing facilities mushroomed across the country.

Under a US embargo on shipments of advanced chip technologies to China, most new Chinese investments have been concentrated on mature semiconductors, according to a report published by the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank.

“An unintended consequence of US export controls on advanced chip technology to China may be a wave of state-backed investment leading to overproduction and, potentially, Chinese dominance of global legacy-chip production,” researchers wrote.

The mainland’s global share of mature-process capacity is expected to reach 39 per cent by 2027, up from 31 per cent last year, Taiwan-based IC research company TrendForce said in an earlier note.

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